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Fundamental Analysis

Dovish surprise in US retail sales leaves little to salvage dollar bulls

The Bank of Japan dismissed market rumors about further adjustments in the yield curve control and left the policy unchanged today, disappointing recent yen buyers. The  Bloomberg report released...

Upbeat China Data may Unlock more Upside in Euro and other Pro-Cyclical Currencies

The unexpected rebound of the Chinese economy as seen in the latest batch of Chinese data reinforced the idea that a hidden China economic momentum will unlock the upside in pro-cyclical currencies,...

Precious Metals Monday 16-01-2023

Muted Start For Metals on Back Of Last Week's Gains The metals market is seeing a more tempered start to the week with both gold and silver futures under mild selling pressure across early...

Dollar under pressure as consensus over soft inflation figures in 2023 grows

The dollar fell to its lowest level in 7 months, and bond yields stabilized after a sharp fall on Thursday, as another decline in major US inflation indicators raised hopes for an early end to the...

US dollar: bearish sentiment still prevails despite major decline

After falling last week by 2% to 101.80, the dollar index rebounded on Monday amid no visible bearish catalysts to push lower. The rebound could be also facilitated by the fact that the price has...

US December CPI in line with estimates, Fed expected to gear down to 25 bp tightening rate

Inflation in the US shows that price pressure is easing, but with strong labor market, the Federal Reserve will be cautious in forecasting the terminal interest rate. The most optimal scenario now...

The Odds of a Dovish Fed in February Increase, Putting Pressure on the USD

US equities closed in green on Thursday, while on Friday a profit taking mood prevails with US futures on the slippery slope. The dollar index holds above the 102 level, but the yen's strong...
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Aussie CPI Shows RBA Inflation Battle Tougher Than Expected

Pause for ThoughtWith the RBA being one of the first central banks to pivot on rates this year, the latest Aussie inflation data will no doubt be disappointing. Year-on-year, inflation came in at 7.3%...

EURUSD Presses Against 1.08 level, Market Anticipates Benign CPI Print as Energy Inflation Drops

Risk appetite apparently grows in equity markets as Fed chief Powell did not take advantage of the Riksbank conference yesterday to repeat the recent mantra that a high inflation rate warrants further...